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Mingshan Capital · June 1, 2026 · AI半导体分化加剧 — MU/ORCL领涨，INTC/BABA弱势

Market Updated| Error Radar
Total P&L
$152,400
Total Profit
Win Rate
87%
380 Trades
Annual Return
68.5%
YTD Performance
Sharpe Ratio
2.68
Risk-Adjusted
Error Loss
-$141,300
Total from mistakes

AI Daily Analysis / AI每日分析June 1, 2026

Gamma StatusELEVATED

MU/ORCL/CRDO Gamma向上加速！AI半导体全面牛市，但分化严重——强者恒强(记忆体/数据库)，弱者横盘(老GPU/中概)。NVDA需守住$210，INTC/BABA继续看空

Delta Exposure

整体Delta偏多+0.32，MU/ORCL/CRDO多头主导，INTC/BABA空头压力大

IV Rank52%
IV Rank 52%，较5月中60%+回落，买期权成本适中，适合方向性策略
Key Support & Resistance / 关键价位
MU
S: 940R: 1000
ORCL
S: 215R: 235
AMD
S: 500R: 525
NVDA
S: 210R: 218
CRDO
S: 222R: 245
INTC
S: 108R: 121
MSFT
S: 436R: 458
BABA
S: 118R: 128
AI Recommendation

6月1日最佳策略：做多AI半导体强势标的（MU/ORCL/QCOM/CRDO）回调，做空中概/弱势半导体（BABA/INTC）反弹。MU目标$1000值得博弈但控制仓位，ORCL突破$226后看$235-$242。

Risk Warnings / 风险预警
CRDO/RKLB极高波动 — 单日振幅可达7-12%，仓位严格控制在5%以内
MU虽然强势但YTD+240%已在高位，追高风险大，只做回调买入
NVDA $210是关键支撑 — 若跌破可能急跌至$200，不建议重仓Call
周一开盘波动大 — 周末消息面消化需要30分钟，等9:30-10:00确认趋势再进场
6月初是资金重新配置期 — 板块轮动可能加速，及时止盈不要恋战

■Live Chart / 实时行情TradingView

Indicators: VWAP, EMA(9), Volume, RSI(14)|Timeframe: 15min

Market Structure / 市场结构

第一层 - 超级主升浪
Gamma加速 | 高频逼空 | OTM Call爆炸
MU+5.14%
RKLB-3.07%
CRDO+6.15%
极度危险阶段
第二层 - 机构趋势
更稳 | 波段友好 | 回调健康
ORCL+10.84%
QCOM+3.18%
AMD-0.38%
MSFT+5.45%
AAPL-0.14%
最适合波段交易
第三层 - 开始掉队
资金流出 | AI热度不足
INTC-5.14%
BABA-1.54%
COIN3.72%
不适合短线

Top Errors / 交易错误排行by Total Loss

#1
No Stop Lossmedium
没设止损 — 亏损无限扩大
-$27,800
13x
#2
Oversized Positionhigh
仓位过重 — 单笔仓位超20%
-$24,200
26x
#3
Revenge Trademedium
情绪化交易 — 亏损后急于回本
-$21,200
16x
#4
FOMO Entryhigh
追涨买入 — 看到暴涨后FOMO追高
-$19,500
45x
#5
Late Exithigh
贪心不止盈 — 到了目标价不卖
-$16,800
40x

Best for Call / 最佳Call

1
MU85% confidence
AI Memory绝对龙头，5日+27%,周五+5.14%至$971，盘中触及$981新高，动能极强...
R:R 2.3x
6/1 Intraday
2
ORCL82% confidence
周五暴涨+10.84%至$225.78创历史新高，AI数据库云业务催化。回调至$218-$222区域...
R:R 1.9x
6/1 Intraday
3
QCOM78% confidence
5日+17.6%,20日+40%,AI手机芯片强势。周五+3.18%至$251，若回调$245-24...
R:R 1.8x
6/1 Intraday

High Volatility Watch / 高波动观察

1
AMDWATCH
周五微跌-0.38%至$516,在$503-$522震荡。观望突破方向，若突破$522阻力可追Cal...
R:R 1.5x
6/1 Intraday
2
NVDAWATCH
周五-1.45%至$211.14,5日-3.8%，5万亿巨头陷入整理。等待$210支撑确认或突破$2...
R:R 1.6x
6/1 Intraday
3
COINWATCH
周五+3.72%至$189,但20日仅+0.7%,方向不明。加密货币板块波动大，等方向信号...
R:R 1.9x
6/1 Intraday

■P&L Heatmap / 盈亏热力图by Weekday & Time

Day
9:30
10:00
10:30
11:00
11:30
12:00
13:00
13:30
14:00
14:30
15:00
15:30
16:00
Mon
+1
-2
+3
-3
+2
+2
-3
+1
+3
+1
+2
0
-1
Tue
+1
-4
0
-2
-2
0
-4
+2
0
-4
+3
+1
-2
Wed
+2
0
+3
-2
+1
+1
-4
+1
+2
-1
+2
+1
0
Thu
-1
-3
+3
-5
-1
0
-3
-1
0
-1
+3
0
-1
Fri
+4
+1
+3
-1
+3
-1
-1
+3
+3
-1
+5
0
+1
High Profit Low Profit Low Loss High Loss

●Holding Time vs Return / 持仓时间 vs 收益

TSLA
+12%
0.5h
NVDA
-8%
1.5h
COIN
+6%
1.5h
CRDO
+28%
1.8h
RKLB
+32%
2h
MU
+42%
2.5h
QCOM
+22%
3h
INTC
-15%
3h
ORCL
+35%
4h
BABA
-12%
4h
GOOGL
-5%
5h
AMD
+18%
6h
MSFT
+15%
8h
AAPL
+8%
12h
QQQ
+10%
24h
Profit (Red) / 盈利  |  Loss (Green) / 亏损 |  Left = longer hold

◉Sentiment vs P&L / 情绪 vs 收益Caution: High sentiment often = loss

P&LSentiment+9.2k-5.8k0100Danger ZoneSweet Spot5/195/205/215/225/235/245/275/285/295/305/31
Bubble size = trade count. High sentiment + overtrading = biggest losses

Quick Actions

AI Strategy / AI策略
View all recommendations
Daily Review / 每日复盘
June 1 analysis
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Risk metrics
Error Radar / 错误识别
Trading mistakes analysis

Sector Rotation / 板块轮动

资金向AI Memory(MU)+AI Database(ORCL)+Space(RKLB)集中，大科技内部严重分化，中概股持续失血

Gamma Status: MU/ORCL/CRDO Gamma向上加速，INTC/BABA Gamma走平偏空，整体AI板块Gamma分化加剧——强者越强

Next Day / 6月2日（周二）预览

6月1日（周一）预计延续周五趋势：MU/ORCL/CRDO高开大概率，INTC/BABA弱势震荡。关注NVDA能否守住$210支撑，AMD能否突破$522阻力。最佳策略：回调做多强势标的，弱势标的反弹做空

6月初资金重新配置期 — 关注MU能否冲击$1000，NVDA $210支撑保卫战
最佳打法：回调做多强势标的(MU/ORCL/CRDO) + 反弹做空弱势标的(INTC/BABA)